An international power agency first for 10 months revised the prognosis toward an increase. MEA forecasts the increase of demand on 120 thousands of barrels in days – to 83,3 million barrels in days. However much world demand however will be on 2,9% less than on comparison
with the last year. MEA marks that in the developed countries the first serious renewal of demand was set on oil. It means that rally at the oil market, which is observed the last months, even it is partly related to fundamental reasons, rather than just with speculations.
But about the end of recession talking early.«While oil prices from middle of February mainly tepefied a situation on financial markets, last growth of cost at the raw material market partly already caused by the long-awaited improvement of fundamental indexes»,
– marks in the monthly report of Mea.Odnako an agency considers that demand grows on oil, as processing factories – especially in the USA – restarted the enterprises after completion of current workovers which are usually conducted in spring.Demand
from the side of the Chinese processing factories rose also. All of it did not slow to tell on market prices.As a result MEA revised the prognosis on demand on oil on 2009 toward an increase. To it agency during 10 months the prognoses
lowered only, writes Financial Times.rezkiy flight of oil prices – from February it rose in price twice – can prevent to making healthy of economy. An oil price advance gives a hope, that the bottom of world economic crisis is passed, and the weakness of course of dollar is instrumental in an influx
money in investment funds which are specialized on raw material."Price advance on raw material – it is a tax on users in moment when growth of profits and level of employment of population is weak", – Michael Lewis cautions from the London separation Deutsche Bank. In the USA wholesale
prices on petrol on Wednesday attained a sign mark 2 dollars for a gallon, that can negatively tell on the index of trust of users, writes gas
growth of cost of oil will be instrumental in the increase of investments in oil industry. According to him, oil must cost somewhere scope $60-90 for a barrel.Analyst from First Fuel Consulting Dzherard Rigbi (Gerard Rigby) "will not be surprised, if through a nedelyu-druguyu price will grow to
to 80 dollars; the so very large is collected inertia", the British newspaper writes "The Guardian".ministr oils of Kuwait Sheik Akhmad al’-abdulla declared the day before, that the first signs of renewal in Asia had appeared already, although general value of service while below, than a year ago,
when the cost of barrel hardly attained one hundred fifty dollars.A minister reported also, that Organization of stran-eksporterov oil would not promote the level of deliveries at current prices, apparently, as hinting, that an oil cartel wishes a yet greater increase
prices. "If it will be for one hundred dollars – then can be yet", – a minister said.In spite of the fact that the present standard of prices is distant from one hundred dollars for a barrel, some producers of oil assert that it is possible to expect on condition of proceeding in the economy growing
next jump of prices.Director general of the Russian company "Gazprom" Alex Miller declared at the conference of news in Italy, that "there are no guarantees" sufficient investments from the side of oil companies for satisfaction of growing demand on
oil in the future."Nobody decided a problem "dyry-2012", which, maybe, will tell and not so soon, as forecast, but heavier. Then a price can even to outgrow level in two hundred fifty dollars, which we forecast a year ago", – Miller declared."All
it is yet possible to expect that the planned reduction of capital investments by the largest international oil companies, caused high nestabil’nost’yu at the market of crude oil, will result in the decline of production capacities and lessening of supplies to oil
to the world markets during trekh-pyati years", – he continued.Company British Petroleum published information about reduction of world stocks of oil in 2008 – first for the last decade. In a statistical review, annually published by an oil giant from Great Britain
on an own web site, it is reported that at the maintainance of present level of production of supplies of oil khvatit yet on forty two years.It is also talked in a review, that last year the world level of consumption of oil fallen down on 420 thousands of barrels, that made maximal
level of the annual falling from 1982, – and it that China smeared a picture notedly, promoting the level of internal consumption on 260 thousands of barrels.The experts of informative management of energy the USA predicted renewal of growth of demand on oil from the beginning of the following
years. A prognosis of demand on 2009 was by them enhanceable on 10 thousands of barrels in a day, and prognosis of middle price on the second half-year – to 67 dollars for the barrel (on 16 dollars more than on more early prognoses) of .fil Flinn (Phil Flynn), specialist on power engineering specialists from the Chicago group Alaron
Trading, supposes that prognosis from the informative management of energy it is possible to examine as a sign "stabilizing of demand"the .drugim factor of growth of cost of oil was become by the nedavnee weakening of dollar. Last week the litre of petrol began to cost on the average more
pound sterling for a litre, that became foundation for an anxiety: the motor-car enthusiasts of Great Britain will be forced to outlay anymore, in spite of cutback of economic activity in a country; from it an unemployment rate approaches three million persons, and many companies
detain a pay-envelope to the employees.
