In 2007 president of Iran Makhmudu Akhmadinezhadu had to enter setting of norms of nefteproduktov in the oil-extracting country. Iran – it in basis to it oil economy, and a world oil market is in the process of economic transformation. Oil prices today are extraordinarily mobile, the British newspaper writes "The Times". At the beginning of recession they fallen down approximately on 80 percents. For the last half-year they won back about 100 percents, and oil went back to a price 70 dollars for a barrel.Partly explanation such
sharp price vibrations consists in the change of center of global economy from mature toward developing countries, especially four largest formed markets – Brazil, Russia, India and China, or so urgent countries of BRIK, which conduct this week
the own economic summit is in Ekaterinburg.It is expected that in the forthcoming years of country of BRIK will rise higher than the USA and Europe. Only one China through pyat’-desyat’ years will go after the United States. Demand on oil in these large developing countries continues
to grow even during a recession.Displacement of centre of gravity of necessities toward the developing countries of neosporim. But there are different looks to yet more scale change at the oil market – concerning so urgent "lance of booty of oil". It is a that temporal moment,
when the increase of oil production will be fully reduced to the zero by the slump of booty on existent deposits. It does not mean that oil is closed; but it means that demand will now exceed new suggestion. So it was in the North sea and in North America.
For this time this will be the deficit of world scale.Many experts suppose that a recession indeed passed the lowest point. At that rate demand on oil will rise in those countries which more all suffered from a crisis, in particular, in the countries of BRIK.
To a great extent discussions in Ekaterinburg will be devoted to the future of supplying to oil and in particular case possible pereorientacii of Russian oil from Europe to China.If the theory of peak of booty of oil will appear correct, then present renewal
it began only. Those oil economists which agree with positions of this theory forecast, that oil prices can attain a mark in 150 dollars for a barrel approximately in 2010.This process can be accompanied by a price increase on gold higher than mark
in 1000 dollars for an ounce. Oil prices and gold have a tendency to move together, and at the developing countries of dollar backlogs more than they would like to have. Gold as reserve asset it is the real alternative to paper currency.Europe and euro differ widely today
from past days. An euro does not have the powerful oil filling, in this connection oilrich developing currencies find advantage. Unfortunately, natural logic of liberal democracy falls short of to natural logic of oil market. Countries have
tendency to become more liberal then, when their people are rich, and the state is poor.Unfortunately, today there is a world change of riches and solvency toward the oil states. And among them there are little democracies. It is possible to see even in Russia,
that postkommunisticheskie authorities become both more or less authoritarian depending on oil prices. Liberalism of Boris El’cina was a reaction on the decline of oil prices. And authoritarianism of Vladimir Putin it is an exactly such reaction on high oil prices,
which increase his profits. Iranian dictatorship also grows the incomes from a sale to oil.President Akhmadinezhadu does not need too strongly to worry concerning elections, as he knows, from where money go for his mode. They come from oil,
but not from people, and oil prices continue to grow. In a role of economist he is not so foolish, as tries to seem.
