Coming forward last week in Italy, chapter “Gazproma” Alex Miller warned that after 2012 on world energorynke there can be a shortage of resources, caused by nedostatochnymi investments in development and able to result in a sharp price advance on
oil and gas. After a few days, he finally satisfied circumferential of seriousness of warning, declaring reduction of investments and production postponements "Gazproma", that caused ghost of future gas crisis in Europe, the British newspaper writes "The
Financial Times" (translation publishes INOSMI.Ru).reshenie to set aside supplying with gas from the first design of enormous supplies, developed time "Gazpromom" there is Yamal on a north peninsula, absolutely reasonably in a short-term prospect.All the industry only and talks,
that about global "gas abundance", which became the result of growth of supplying with the condensated natural gas (SPG), in particular, with mega-proektov in Qatar, which just enter into a line-up."Just all talked a year ago, that "Gazprom" not able to satisfy
demand [on gas], – Jonathan Stern (Jonathan Stern) talks from the Oxford institute of power researches (Oxford Institute for Energy Studies). – Speed which changes happened with is unbelievable."A world crisis reduced the European consumption of gas in earnest, especially among
industrial users. For example, motor industry uses gas heatings devices, to dry out a paint on machines, but now many lines of assembling stand at a loose end.Association of gas industry Cedigaz counted up, that industrial
demand on gas in the developed countries, including European Union, USA and Japan, will fall down this year on 17 percents as compared to the last year.The volumes of domestic consumption are more stable, but general demand from the side of European Union can fall down this year on 5 percents, even nesmotrya
on extraordinarily cold January."Gazprom", being the largest importer of gas in ES, spravlyat
cubic meters below, than last year. Vnutrirossiyskiy demand on gas will be on 40 milliards of cubic meters below, and demand from the side of Ukraine and other former soviet republics also will fall down on 20 milliards of cubic meters."Gazprom" answered on it, reducing the own
production, and also compelling the independent Russian producers of gas to reduce it. In addition, "Gazprom" offered to Turkmenistan which is to one of his basic suppliers, to reduce the export price on supplied with gas. Explosion, happening
in April, cut a pipeline report short between Turkmenistan and Russia, and work of gas pipeline until now is not recovered. Parties contest reasons of happening explosion.Speed with which demand on gas again will begin to grow will depend on speed of renewal
economies.President of oil company BP Tony Kheyvord (Tony Hayward) declared last week, that, although demand and came in an equilibrium after the sharp falling, proizoshedshego at the beginning of year, still there are no signals of new growth.Therefore prognosis "Gazproma" oh
that even in 2012 the level of his production, probably, will remain below, than last year, is plausible assumption.For Russia an anxious prospect consists of that zapadnoevropeyskiy demand so never and will not return on a former level.
If ES will succeed to obtain the purpose to increase to 2020 the rational use of energy on 20 percents, then for a decade the consumption of gas will fall down. Consulting firm Cambridge Energy Research Associates declared recently, that even if the tasks of ES will be executed only half,
it can reduce demand on gas to the levels of beginning of 1990-kh years to 2030.However, other experts skeptically behave to possibility of achievement of this purpose or to the talks that in a next decade gas will be transferable other types of fuel. Leviner
(Colette Lewiner) from a consulting company Capgemini considers that European demand on gas will grow at least to 2020 year."I do not think that a renewable fuel will be enough, – it talks. – Even if to take all other energy sources, growing demand on
gas remains however."Meantime, the European booty of gas goes down. On the estimations of International Power Agency (International Energy Agency), in the nearest two decades a gas booty in Western Europe will go down on 30 percents.Search of new sources of gas
for Europe proceeds. ES lays great expectations on Azerbaijan and Turkmenistan, and recently optimistic prognoses appeared about supplying with gas from north Iraq. But reality is such, that ES does not can without Russia, and, eventually, this gas from Yamala necessarily
may need.
